The latest Zogby poll (3/13-14, n = 1001, margin of error ± 3.2) adds Nader to the mix and comes up with even better results than the latest Rasmussen poll, with McCain leading Clinton 45-39. Nader pulls 6%. Zogby says:
In the McCain-Clinton-Nader match-up, McCain leads mainly because of a significant advantage among independents. Among those voters, he wins support from 45%, compared to 28% for Clinton and 15% for Nader.
[ . . . ]
Clinton leads only among those voters under age 30, while McCain leads among all voters over age 30.
Against the Obamamessiah, McCain wins 44-39, with Nader pulling 5%, and independents splitting more or less the same as with Hillary.
Note:
An interesting factor in this race: the inroads McCain has made into Obama’s base and vice versa. McCain wins 19% support from Democrats, while Obama captures just 67% of voters in his own party.
And this is yet more data that support my assertion that McCain gets crucial support from centrists and JFK Democrats, so moving too far to the right would alientate them, and lose the election.
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