May 03 2008
Romney VP? Uh, No
I’m stumped by those who want McCain to pick Romney for the ticket. I’m not bashing Romney. I like Mitt, always have. But I don’t see what he would bring to the ticket.
The first problem is something I’ll call the Romney Fickle Factor. This isn’t a reference to Romney; it’s a reference to those Republicans who flip-flop on their support for Romney. If you check out Red State or Hot Air or just about any of the big Republican blogs and scroll through the archives, you’ll see that the same people who trashed him when he was running are now saying he’s the best choice for VP. In fact, the only non-candidate blog I know of that has remained constant in their support of Romney is National Review (if you recall, they endorsed him). Then there’s that weird, irrational Dobson thing. When Romney was running, Dobson liked him. Now that Mitt has dropped out, Dobson is saying “we” won’t vote for McCain if he puts Romney on the ticket (if you can explain the logic there, you win a gold star).
Romney would bring a number of issues to the race that McCain does not need. Do we really want to have a replay of the Mormon debate? And with Mitt on the ticket, it would be a lot louder and nastier than it was during the primary race. Then there’s the flip-flop debate, which again, would be a lot louder than it was before if Romney is on the ticket. Romney’s healthcare plan didn’t come up much during the primary race, but now that it’s threatening to bankrupt the state, it will, and it won’t be pretty. McCain doesn’t need that.
That leads us to another problem: McCain has several powerful strengths, and putting Romney on the ticket would undo some of them, because Romney is weak on some of those issues. Flip-flopping, for example (and no, I’m not dragging up the issue for discussion). You can call McCain many things, but a flip-flopper or a panderer is not one of them. I don’t think Romney is a flip-flopper or a panderer, but he seems to be to many, many people.
A McCain-Romney ticket would be all about Romney. The press would be all Romney, all the time, and they’d pick him apart like they never did in the primary race. It would definitly be one of those “you ain’t seen ugly yet” moments.
Here’s another strength Romney would undo. McCain is the alpha dog in the race, and make no mistake, while this may not be a political issue per se, it will resonate. Let me quote this article from Lisa Shiffrin on NRO:
One problem Romney has, which I was acutely aware of the other night, is that he comes off just a bit too effete. He is smart and thoughtful. But each time John McCain said something that was smirky or a direct lie, (the business about timetables) [not a lie, by the way], after trying to correct it, Mitt’s natural inclination was to shoot a plaintive look at the questioners, as if to signal that he and they both knew that McCain was misbehaving. This was entirely redolent of the behavior of the teacher’s pet, who always knows the right answer, looking for authority to back him up in an argument with the class bully. But if you are president you have to be the authority, and you had better be able to slay the dragon right there and then, without looking to some offstage authority figure to nod in agreement that you are right. This little bit of body language reinforced whatever it was that McCain’s people meant recently when one of them was quoted saying, “Mitt Romney is the kind of guy that John McCain used to beat up at school.” (That’s a paraphrase.)
I found the remark obnoxious (as you would expect a grown woman to) at the time. But when I watched the interaction described above, I knew what that guy meant. And the fact is, you don’t want to vote for the bully, but you don’t want to vote for the goody two-shoes either.
At the time (Mitt hadn’t dropped out yet), there was something that made me vaguely uneasy about Mitt, although I couldn’t put my finger on what it was until I read Lisa’s comment. In fact, that comment, and identifying what was bothering me, pushed me toward McCain at the time. But my point is don’t underestimate the psychological. McCain exudes strength. Mitt does not. McCain needs somebody who underscores strength, not somebody who undermines it.
And the polls just don’t support a McCain-Romney ticket. There’s this Rasmussen poll, for instance:
Thirty-one percent (31%) of New Hampshire voters say they’re more likely to vote for McCain if he selects Mitt Romney as his running mate. Thirty-nine percent (39%) are less likely to vote for McCain with Romney on the ticket.
And here’s another, from Massachusetts:
Just 34% of Massachusetts voters think McCain should select former Massachusetts Governor Mitt Romney as his running mate. Forty-three percent (43%) disagree. Nearly half (48%) of voters say they would be less likely to vote for McCain if Romney was on the ticket. Just 27% would be more likely to vote for the senator, while 22% said it would have no impact on their vote.
So Mitt would be a liability even in his own state. That doesn’t, to me, recommend him as a VP candidate.
I haven’t seen any real reason to put him on the ticket other than some variation of “McCain needs a real conservative,” and as often as not — no, more often than not — this comes from somebody who was jeering at Romney for not being a “real conservative” when he was still in the race. The whole argument is specious, given the damage the big government daddy state Republicans have done to the brand: This is only the most recent of a string of polls dating back to the Terry Shaivo fiasco that document how much damage the daddy staters have done. A “real conservative” would only hurt McCain, because if he wins, it will be with support from the center. And I doubt that a Romney pick would help pull centrist votes.
I do like Mitt. But I don’t see how he would do anything but hurt McCain’s chances in November.
9 responses so far

There was something a bit “off” about Mitt while he was still in the race. He seems to have become more relaxed since he dropped. With his money and power, I can’t imgagine that his “effeteness” was due to lack of self-confidence but it sure looked that way and made him seem stiff and phony. He has seemed more “natural” lately but, yes, he would bring more negatives than positives to Mac’s ticket.
I agree. I never regarded Mitt as anything but a situational conservative. He moved to the right for political purposes. His flip-flops on issues would doom McCain to answering for him the whole campaign. He doesn’t need him. He needs someone who also exudes power. How about Condi?
I disagree. I believe Mitt would help in Michigan, Nevada, and even California.
Sure, there would be some talk about Mitt but presidential campaigns are never about the VP or his views. So this agrument does not fly.
He would be more relaxed in the General Election because he would not have to pander to anyone. Remember, he fooled Massachusettes into voting for him–and they are only about 20% Republican–one of the most liberal (if not the most liberal) states in the union.
He also has ties to significant money–and I’m not talking about his own money. All of his doners can recontribute to a new max for a McCain/Romney ticket. Remeber that he still raised more that any other Republican in the primary–even when you subtract out his personal contributions.
He does bring his own strengths — articulate, young looking, and very strong on the economy. Remember also that when you subtract out democratic votes, Romney won Florida. Democrates feared Romeny more than McCain. And the name recognition would also help.
Plus, Mcain has a bad reputation for holding a grudge: This would do much to dispell that reputation and unite the party.
Actually, sometimes they are. See Thomas Eagleton. The campaign will be about whatever the media decide, and they will go after the weakest point on the GOP ticket.
I wasn’t thinking about the money. Okay, that’s something.
I strongly disagree that the Dems feared Romney more than McCain. There’s no evidence to support that — and a lot of evidence to support the contrary.
If McCain needs a real conservative on the ticket, whose followers do not flip-flop, and who won’t be an issue in the press (because the press has decided to ignore him), which CURRENT candidate for the nomination qualifies? Hint: it’s not Mike Huckabee…
1. I didn’t say he needed a conservative on the ticket.
2. I certainly didn’t say he needed a wacked-out blame America first asshat who buries Kruggerands in his front yard. Might as well put Angela Davis on the ticket.
I think Dodson was willing to put up with either Romney or McCain at the top of the ticket because he though it was the closest he was going to get, with the expectation of a red-meat social conservative as the VP, like with Bush I and Quayle, or heck, Bush II and Cheney. (Dole and Kemp, while we’re at it, although Kemp’s always been too much of a neocon for the socons, if I understand the dynamics.)
In short, Romney isn’t the rock-ribbed governor the theocons want, but they were probably going to put up with him as president. A prestige issue?
[…] were based on nothing more than pure speculation or “anonymous sources.” I did lay out my case against Romney, mostly because there was so much Romney cheering at the time, and usually from those who were […]
[…] were based on nothing more than pure speculation or “anonymous sources.” I did lay out my case against Romney, mostly because there was so much Romney cheering at the time, and usually from those who were […]